Foresight Launch 2019

The Health and Care Foresight Programme held a launch event at Green Templeton College on 25 March 2019 to demonstrate the usefulness and feasibility of the overall approach.

Aims:

  • Demonstrate the ability of Green Templeton to convene relevant participants and to enable them to address strategic issues for health and care systems around the world
  • Pilot and refine specific Foresight methodology for taking this strategic, long-term perspective
  • Undertake a first exploration of these strategic issues and publish that in the form of a scoping report as a basis for moving forward with the full Foresight programme
  • Establish relations with potential donors and stakeholders who can support the development of the full initiative, and improvements in health and care systems.

Participants:

This initial meeting brought together 40-50 people, including:

  • Policymakers from relevant developed and emerging-economy health and care systems
  • Officials from international organisations such as the World Health Organization, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, and the World Bank
  • Researchers and practitioners with insights on strategic challenges facing health systems
  • Key stakeholders from within Green Templeton and the wider Oxford community.

Structure:

The project team prepared a background document introducing our aim, possible issues and context, and the purpose and structure of the meeting. This drew on reviews of relevant literature, short scientific summaries prepared in collaboration with leading experts, and input on key challenges and issues from relevant stakeholders.

The meeting itself involved active contributions from participants as well as the wider college community, including students, drawing on the model of the successful Emerging Markets Symposium.

It was held at Green Templeton, centred around the Radcliffe Observatory.

Output:

The preparation for the meeting and the results from it will be the basis of a short report setting out our proposed initiative, the issues identified through this process, how this initiative can be taken forward and the value that it would add. This will be combined with online material to outline the issues in as accessible a way as possible. We will also aim to build on contacts and links from those at the meeting to help provide a basis for the wider initiative.

Blogs from the event:

Building sustainable health and care systems into the future
Sara Shaw and Nick Fahy, co-organisers of Foresight

Doctors, nurses and their training – could the NHS workforce be in need of a makeover?
Jonny Bowley, graduate assistant

‘Who we are?’ Reflections on who a Foresight Programme might involve, and why
Jackie Walumbe, Emmanuel Abalo, Muriel Levy, graduate assistants

‘What do you mean you don’t know?’ Reflections on dealing with uncertainty in healthcare
Emma Ladds, Academic Clinical Fellow, University of Oxford

‘Who will fix the future of healthcare?’ A reflection on the need for cross-disciplinary collaboration
Asli Kalin, GP and Academic Clinical Fellow

Brief interviews with participants, reflecting on future challenges to health and care systems

Jennifer Dixon, Chief Executive of The Health Foundation
Interview by Jonny Bowley

How can the health care system prepare itself better than it has done in the past for this dynamic, complex, synergising, reinforcing, confusing set of forces that’s going to be upon it?” 

K. Srinath Reddy, President, Public Health Foundation of India
Interview by Salman Waqar

I believe it’s very important for healthcare systems to become much more committed to the idea of equity.” 

Miklós Szócska, Director, Health Services Management Training Centre, Semmelweis University
Interview by Emma Ladds

The average life expectancy in [a senior policy] position is 20 months… so this policy cycle and the shortness of the policy cycle is a challenge in itself.” 

Read the full Foresight Pilot programme below:

1. Overview
2. Background of Foresight
3. Trends
4. People
5. Technology
6. Complexity

Photographs from the day:

Foresight programme workshop pilot

Foresight workshop pilot 2019 programme

Denise Lievesley introduces the Foresight 2019 pilot workshop at Green Templeton College on Monday 25 March 2019

Foresight Pilot Workshop, held at Green Templeton College on 25 March 2019

Foresight Pilot Workshop, held at Green Templeton College on 25 March 2019

Foresight Pilot Workshop, held at Green Templeton College on 25 March 2019

Foresight Pilot Workshop, held at Green Templeton College on 25 March 2019